He proposes 2 concepts, one is “articulated thalassography”, a measurement I’ve seen in fractal theory, comparing the length of the coast with surface of the country that can be reasonably defended... Another is “Mereuporia”, the capacity in a zone to have stable “realms” that compete strongly but can never win totally on the whole zone...
Both ideas push countries to stay stable, exchange much, innovate much, and prevent the creation of a sterile centralized empire.
The second author, cited David Cosande (and Isaac Asimov, and many others, including a post-Roman historian) : Philippe Fabry
In English there is only: “history of next century”, and “Rome from libertarianism to socialism: Ancient lessons for our time”
He has a more comprehensive theory of history (Historionomy), proposing that there have been 3 ages, with Mycenian empire, Roman Empire, and US Empire, evolving in spiraling cycles...
What he calls Civilization A was Greece, and now is Europe (before it was Cretan “palaces”), with dynamic states that from medieval period, move to a Renaissance, with each country making a national transition from medieval to monarchy then parliamentary democracy.
However, this transition is frozen during wars when the country is troubled… Britain with 100 years war, delayed French Revolution by 100 years, while it’s own process was not… it became the “thalassocracy” , having control over the commerce… WW1&WW2 (German national transition, which triggered Russian transition halted by Staline unexpected victory) propelled USA as the new Thalassocracy...
Being the Thalassocracy make you connected to many civilizations, attractive to innovators, demanding in innovation, and not afraid of innovations.
In Antiquity, Athens was the thalassocracy.
There is much more to say, but yes, geography, because of commerce and capacity to protect your land are key.
One of the reason of Russian psychology is that they were on the road of nomad warlords from Mongolia, regularly invaded… France on the opposite is a crossing but have good natural borders to hale. and England is an island. Ukraine was the door to Europe, where Polish empire installed Cossacks horsemen to block eastern invasions… guess what happened when someone attached them from the east ? (Note that the mass of fighter against nazis were Ukrainians and Belarussians)...
What is depressive with Fabry is that he predict the fate of US Empire is like Roman Empire, move from democracy to autoritarianism, then alone in his empire, with no competition, it will collapse like USSR, leading to a new middle age, allowing a new Renaissance, but with bigger-size civilization (guess à which scale)… risky colonization far from Civilization A… a new Thalassocracia...
The only things to do would be to store Alexandria Library in a very safe place, and promote a new Bysance Interesting theory...
There are some analysis about why democracy, modernity appeared in Europe, earlier in Greece, and there are two related analysis.
One is by David Cosandey, “Le secret de l’Occident. Vers une théorie générale du progrès
scientifique, ”
You can translate this related presentation to have a quick vision:
https://gerflint.fr/Base/MondeMed4/Demorgon_Secret.pdf
He proposes 2 concepts, one is “articulated thalassography”, a measurement I’ve seen in fractal theory, comparing the length of the coast with surface of the country that can be reasonably defended...
Another is “Mereuporia”, the capacity in a zone to have stable “realms” that compete strongly but can never win totally on the whole zone...
Both ideas push countries to stay stable, exchange much, innovate much, and prevent the creation of a sterile centralized empire.
The second author, cited David Cosande (and Isaac Asimov, and many others, including a post-Roman historian) : Philippe Fabry
https://www.amazon.com/s?i=digital-text&rh=p_27%3APhilippe+Fabry&s=relevancerank&text=Philippe+Fabry
In English there is only: “history of next century”, and “Rome from libertarianism to socialism: Ancient lessons for our time”
He has a more comprehensive theory of history (Historionomy), proposing that there have been 3 ages, with Mycenian empire, Roman Empire, and US Empire, evolving in spiraling cycles...
What he calls Civilization A was Greece, and now is Europe (before it was Cretan “palaces”), with dynamic states that from medieval period, move to a Renaissance, with each country making a national transition from medieval to monarchy then parliamentary democracy.
However, this transition is frozen during wars when the country is troubled… Britain with 100 years war, delayed French Revolution by 100 years, while it’s own process was not… it became the “thalassocracy” , having control over the commerce… WW1&WW2 (German national transition, which triggered Russian transition halted by Staline unexpected victory) propelled USA as the new Thalassocracy...
Being the Thalassocracy make you connected to many civilizations, attractive to innovators, demanding in innovation, and not afraid of innovations.
In Antiquity, Athens was the thalassocracy.
There is much more to say, but yes, geography, because of commerce and capacity to protect your land are key.
One of the reason of Russian psychology is that they were on the road of nomad warlords from Mongolia, regularly invaded… France on the opposite is a crossing but have good natural borders to hale. and England is an island. Ukraine was the door to Europe, where Polish empire installed Cossacks horsemen to block eastern invasions… guess what happened when someone attached them from the east ? (Note that the mass of fighter against nazis were Ukrainians and Belarussians)...
What is depressive with Fabry is that he predict the fate of US Empire is like Roman Empire, move from democracy to autoritarianism, then alone in his empire, with no competition, it will collapse like USSR, leading to a new middle age, allowing a new Renaissance, but with bigger-size civilization (guess à which scale)… risky colonization far from Civilization A… a new Thalassocracia...
The only things to do would be to store Alexandria Library in a very safe place, and promote a new Bysance
Interesting theory...