Rather than asking how fast or slow we should move, I think it’s more useful to ask what preventative measures we can take, and then estimate which ones are worth the cost/delay. Merely pausing doesn’t help if we aren’t doing anything with that time. On the other hand, it could be worth a long pause and/or a high cost if there is some preventive measure we can take that would add significant safety.
I don’t know offhand what would raise my p(doom), except for obvious things like smaller-scale misbehavior (financial fraud, a cyberattack) or dramatic technological acceleration from AI (genetic engineering, nanotech).
Thanks.
Rather than asking how fast or slow we should move, I think it’s more useful to ask what preventative measures we can take, and then estimate which ones are worth the cost/delay. Merely pausing doesn’t help if we aren’t doing anything with that time. On the other hand, it could be worth a long pause and/or a high cost if there is some preventive measure we can take that would add significant safety.
I don’t know offhand what would raise my p(doom), except for obvious things like smaller-scale misbehavior (financial fraud, a cyberattack) or dramatic technological acceleration from AI (genetic engineering, nanotech).
True, I was insufficiently careful with my phrasing.