Referencing your recent AI article (which is great!):
How much of the problem of digital technology being hard to implement productively because of social/legal/policy stuff:
A path dependency issue: digital technology just has to exist substantively before the social/legal/policy environment is generated, improved and optimized to accommodate it?
To the extent this path dependency exists, do you think we could be doing more to prime the social/legal/policy environment for new technologies preemptively? Is better anticipation of the social/legal/policy needs of digital technology feasible? Or are the main gains (or least reckless approaches) to be found in speeding up the accommodation process for digital technology once it exists, and its practical applications become clearer.
For 1 & 2, how do you see the answers varying across different sectors of the economy?
I don’t think path dependency is the right way of looking at it. I’d frame it rather differently:
We are doing a bunch of clown stuff that is holding back productivity improvements all the time. There is nothing about that is unique to AI. However, it’s possible that it will become especially apparent that we are erecting all these obstacles ourselves as we observe AI getting very productive in unregulated or otherwise functional sectors.
Absolutely, we should be dismantling the clown policies proactively, but it isn’t proactive with respect to AI particularly, it’s just that we should not have clown policies in the first place.
Referencing your recent AI article (which is great!):
How much of the problem of digital technology being hard to implement productively because of social/legal/policy stuff:
A path dependency issue: digital technology just has to exist substantively before the social/legal/policy environment is generated, improved and optimized to accommodate it?
To the extent this path dependency exists, do you think we could be doing more to prime the social/legal/policy environment for new technologies preemptively? Is better anticipation of the social/legal/policy needs of digital technology feasible? Or are the main gains (or least reckless approaches) to be found in speeding up the accommodation process for digital technology once it exists, and its practical applications become clearer.
For 1 & 2, how do you see the answers varying across different sectors of the economy?
I don’t think path dependency is the right way of looking at it. I’d frame it rather differently:
We are doing a bunch of clown stuff that is holding back productivity improvements all the time. There is nothing about that is unique to AI. However, it’s possible that it will become especially apparent that we are erecting all these obstacles ourselves as we observe AI getting very productive in unregulated or otherwise functional sectors.
Absolutely, we should be dismantling the clown policies proactively, but it isn’t proactive with respect to AI particularly, it’s just that we should not have clown policies in the first place.