Interesting topic! Holden Karnofsky writes here that economic growth likely cannot continue forever, but he’s talking about the next 5,000 years or so rather than the next 100. Assuming exponential growth continues, we’d eventually be squeezing billions of dollars of economic value out of every atom in the galaxy, which seems difficult, to say the least.
Yeah, I agree with those estimates. Basically if growth does continue, then in less than 10k years we hit some unimaginable utopia. At that point things might have to level off based on the laws of physics. But if we get there I don’t think anyone will complain!
Interesting topic! Holden Karnofsky writes here that economic growth likely cannot continue forever, but he’s talking about the next 5,000 years or so rather than the next 100. Assuming exponential growth continues, we’d eventually be squeezing billions of dollars of economic value out of every atom in the galaxy, which seems difficult, to say the least.
Yeah, I agree with those estimates. Basically if growth does continue, then in less than 10k years we hit some unimaginable utopia. At that point things might have to level off based on the laws of physics. But if we get there I don’t think anyone will complain!